We should welcome the NHL going ahead with a regular season, be it 56 games, or something else. In the crazy world since COVID-19 took over how we act, how we think and what we do, its welcoming to see any sign of normality; but it’s not likely they have much of a choice.
In a world where other professional sports have an enormous advantage, the NHL simply had to stay relevant even if the dollars make little sense. To be financially viable, hockey has to have people in the seats.
The NFL has enough TV revenue. Even if no one ever showed up, American football in the United States would still be able to play and roughly break even.
Major League Baseball has television and a financial infrastructure that keeps it ticking.
The NBA’s appeal broad at an international level is the stuff of NHL envy. Throw in some curious support from Communist China and the dollars flow readily.
Hockey has TV revenue. Just not enough. Advertising yes, but again not on the level of the other big three professional leagues. The difference is attendance. There is escrow, where players sacrifice a large portion of their paycheques. Give some credit to the NHL players. They put their money where their mouth is more than other leagues. Still, putting bums in the seats is what matters to the bottom line at the end of the day.
If you want proof, then turn your attention to the words of Vegas Golden Knights owner Bill Foley. I was in Las Vegas in October and November and heard Foley on a local radio broadcast. Foley was as upfront and blunt as any NHL owner when he said that for the vast majority of NHL teams, they must draw at least 60 per cent of capacity to make it financially worthwhile.
Unless we see a drastic change in how provincial and state governments deal with COVID-19, the NHL will head into the season in a financial deficit. In the short term, that may be work, but it is hard to imagine that it is sustainable for long.
The NHL is making some smart accommodations. There will be consideration of a Canadian division. Multiple games against rivals will take place in close proximity.
For example, the Oilers and Flames will bang heads a total of 10 times this season. Travel will be reduced significantly. When you consider that many of these teams fork over between $2-to-$5 million in travel, this will be a significant factor.
Let’s hope that it can all happen with our teams remaining in Canada, because if the seven clubs must play each other in the US, that initial saving could go out the window.
Still, there are many question marks remaining; starting with the Ontario lockdown under Premier Doug Ford. Both Toronto and Ottawa will be on pins and needles until that situation is clarified. Ontario is currently set to remain under lockdown after the NHL schedule is to begin.
Then there is the reluctance to this point of British Columbia’s government willingness to consider Canadian NHL teams visiting Vancouver. This is curious, as the John Horgan government makes little noise about international flights out of Vancouver, but appears willing to violate the constitutional right of Canadians to move freely between provinces.
And Quebec is as difficult to read on this issue as it is on any.
The condensed schedule will be extremely hard on teams. Their rosters will take a brutal beating. The idea of a taxi squad makes a lot of sense. Injuries always play a role, and when we add the shortened time period, it will be markedly worse. Throw in back-to-back games and heated regional rivalries, and I am sure you get the picture.
Of course, there is the grey cloud of COVID-19. How will teams deal with the inevitable positive tests for players? Will entire teams be required to go into isolation, and how will that affect game schedules?
The National Hockey League sticking its neck out for a regular season is great. It’s potential for excitement is outstanding. But so to is the possibility of calamity.
But true to the toughness of the average hockey player, the league didn’t turtle.
Game on.
Roger Millions is the Sports Columnist for the Western Standard